2023 Week 1 Picks


Hello Reader,

Week 1 is upon us! Click here for Week 1 Regular Confidence Pool Picks. We also have Week 1 Against the Spread Confidence and

Week 1 Survivor/Strike Pool Picks.

Premium members will get the picks directly emailed to them. Here's a sneak peek at what premium members will get:


As we kick off the new football season, we’re excited to share some updates to enhance your experience:

  1. Pick changes: This year, we’ll be giving you the changes in base pick points, win probability, and percentage at each updates.
  2. Discussion Board: We’ve introduced a platform where you can engage with fellow participants, share strategies, or just chat about the latest games.
  3. Streamlined Money Pick Indicators: Instead of the previous green, yellow, and blue picks, we’ll now have bright green (higher risk) and dark green (medium risk). We’ve decided to retire the blue picks.
  4. Weekly Polls: We’ll be running polls to gather your feedback on performance. Whether you landed in first place, were in the money, or just missed out, we want to hear from you!

In future posts, expect a performance recap of the previous week’s picks, scores from various risk strategies, and the total season base pick score. We’re looking forward to another exciting season of football. Let’s dive into Week 1’s picks!

Premium Picks

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

  1. NEP over PHI (35% win probability, 5% picked)
  2. IND over JAC (32%, 7%)
  3. TBB over MIN (29%, 4%)
  4. DET over KCC (27%, 5%)
  5. ARI over WAS (25%, 6%)

The New England Patriots are leading the charge this week in our Higher Risk picks. They’ve got a decent 35% shot at a win, and only 5% of participants are backing them. The Colts aren’t far behind with a 32% win probability and just 7% of folks picking them. The Bucs, Lions, and Cardinals are also looking spicy this week with win probabilities hovering in the high 20s and low pick rates.

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

  1. CLE over CIN (44%, 15%)
  2. NYJ over BUF (44%, 23%)
  3. PIT over SFO (43%, 23%)

Kicking off our Medium Risk picks, the Browns are looking solid with a 44% win probability and only 15% of participants on their side. The Jets and Steelers are also in the mix, both rocking mid-40s win probabilities, though they’re a bit more popular among pickers.

Suggested Picks by Risk

Interested in money picks and other premium benefits? Click here to find out more!

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Hello Reader, Week 1 is upon us! Click here for Week 1 Regular Confidence Pool Picks. We also have Week 1 Against the Spread Confidence and Week 1 Survivor/Strike Pool Picks. Premium members will get the picks directly emailed to them. Here's a sneak peek at what premium members will get: As we kick off the new football season, we’re excited to share some updates to enhance your experience: Pick changes: This year, we’ll be giving you the changes in base pick points, win probability, and...